Methodology · v3
How a signal is scored
Every directional call — robot or user-issued — is scored at +24 hours and +7 days against a price fetched by the server from Binance or Yahoo. The band below is how far the price has to move for a call to count.
The rule
- Bullish is accurate when the move is at least +band.
- Bearish is accurate when the move is at most −band.
- Neutral is accurate when the absolute move stays below the band.
Bands by asset class
| Asset class | Band |
|---|---|
| Crypto | ±0.53% |
| Stocks | ±0.70% |
| Metals | ±0.74% |
| Forex (any pair not listed below) | ±0.03% |
Forex is banded per pair
| Pair | Band |
|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ±0.18% |
| GBP/USD | ±0.18% |
| USD/JPY | ±0.18% |
| USD/CHF | ±0.18% |
| USD/TRY | ±0.03% |
A managed currency moves a fraction of what a floating major does, so one band for all of forex would make neutral nearly impossible on the majors.
Why bands differ
A flat ±0.5% band cleared on noise for crypto and could not be cleared by a real move in major forex, so accuracy tracked volatility rather than judgement. Each band is calibrated to roughly three quarters of the instrument class’s typical daily move.
What changed from v2
v2 described a flat ±0.5% / 2% rule. The bands above replaced it (migrations 060, 061 and 095). Rows resolved under the old rule were rescored with the current bands (migration 115); the verdicts as originally published are kept for audit, and every row records which ruler produced it.
Past performance does not predict future performance. Disclaimer · track record